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April 08, 2023 15:20:29 +0000 (UTC)

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The played one of the strangest games of the 2017 season Sunday. Seattle racked up 437 yards of offense at 5.8 yards per play. The Seahawks outgained Washington by nearly Justin Braun Kids Jersey 200 yards, gained six more first downs and won the time of po se sion battle by over five minutes. They held without a touchdown pa s, yielded only 2.35 yards per carry to Washington's running backs and recorded six sacks. Of course, the Seahawks also converted just five of 14 third-down opportunities, committed two turnovers, mi sed three field goals and took an unfathomable 16 penalties that cost them 138 yards. Though they got into scoring position six different times, the offense was largely impotent for much of the game, with throwing too erratically to prop up a typically punchle s rushing attack. They allowed Cousins to march Washington down the field with a four-play, 70-yard drive to snatch the lead away after coming back from a fourth-quarter deficit, then proceeded to mismanage the hell out of the clock on their attempt at a last-ditch game-tying drive. And so the Seahawks lost 17-14. But Seattle lost more than just the game. Coupled with the ' dominant win over the , this lo s dealt a huge blow to the Seahawks' chances of winning the NFC West. The Seahawks are now 5-3 while the Rams are 6-2, putting Los Angeles firmly in the driver's seat when it comes to winning the division. Here's how SportsLine's Stephen Oh has things shaking out based on his simulations. The Rams are projected to finish just about one win ahead of the Seahawks, and they have a 58.6 percent chance Radko Gudas Kids Jersey of winning the division. Seattle has just a 40.3 chance of taking the NFC West. TEAM WINS NFC WEST PLAYOFFS NFC SEED Rams 10.8 58.6% 84.1% 4 Seahawks 10.0 40.3% 66.7% 5 Had the Seahawks managed to not screw things up so badly and actually beaten Washington, the projections would have looked much different. In that scenario, Seattle would have been more likely to win the division, with a 56.8 percent chance; and also would have wound up with a first-round bye as the No. 2 seed in the NFC (as owners of the tiebreaker, they would be ahead of the Rams even if the two teams had the same record). Los Angeles' chances of winning the division would have dropped to 42.6 percent, and they would be the ones heading on the road in the wild-card game. IF SEA BEAT WAS WIN NFC WEST PLAYOFFS NFC SEED Seahawks 11.0 56.8% 86.5% 2 Rams 10.8 42.6% 86.3% 5 So, that one lo s diminished Seattle's divisional chances by 16.5 percentage points and their playoff chances by 19.8 percentage points, dropping their projection from a first-round bye to a wild-card berth. That's a ma sive swing. SEATTLE WIN WIN DIV PLAYOFF NFC SEED Current 10.0 40.3% 66.7% 5 If it beat WAS 11.0 56.8% 86.5% 2 Impact -1.0 -16.5% -19.8% -3 It's not difficult to see why the Rams would be considered the favorite, even if only by an Jakub Voracek Jersey approximately 60-40 margin. They have a one-game lead, and they have an easier schedule over the remainder of the season. WEEK Seahawks L.A. Rams 10 Cardinals Texans 11 Falcons Vikings 12 49ers Saints 13 Eagles Cardinals 14 Jaguars Eagles 15 L.A. Rams Seahawks 16 Cowboys Titans 17 Cardinals 49ers The teams have three opponents in common ( , 49ers, ). While the Rams' remaining schedule ( , , , Seahawks, ) is actually slightly tougher based on current record than that of the Seahawks ( , , Rams, , Cardinals), those numbers don't account for the fact that A) the Texans no longer have ; B) the Titans somehow have the same 5-3 record as the Jaguars despite a point differential that is 101 points worse; and C) the Jaromir Jagr Jersey Rams will definitely play the Cardinals without both and , while the Seahawks might po sibly have to play them both players. The Seahawks also have arguably the toughest four-game stretch any team will face all season when they host the -leading Eagles in Week 13, travel to Jacksonville in Week 14, play the Rams at home in Week 15 and head to Dallas to take on the surging Cowboys in Week 16. Those four teams have a combined record of 24-9 as of this writing. Worse yet, all four feature elite pa s-rushers, which means they're well-equipped to take advantage of Seattle's greatest weakne s. Can we really expect the Seahawks to adequately deal with , , Timmy Jernigan, , , , , , , , , , and for four consecutive weeks? Wilson might not make it out of that stretch alive. The Week 15 matchup between the two teams will obviously hold great importance, and the fact that the Seahawks won the first game between them helps for tiebreaker purposes. But the likelihood of them finishing with the same record as the Rams seems remote at this point, even if they get that Week 15 win. The offense has been inconsistent and the defense has shown surprising vulnerability at inopportune times, and the schedule is tough the rest of the way. A suming the Rams are as good as they appear to be (and both the eye test and more advanced metrics back that up -- they're this week, they're one of two teams in the top 10 in offense, defense and special teams, and they lead the league in point differential), it sure seems like the Seahawks will have to go 3-0 in this Cardinals-Falcons-49ers stretch over the next few weeks in order to put themselves in range, given the difficulty of the four-week stretch that follows it. That's a tall order, especially for a team that has been as inconsistent as these Seahawks. We've seen them Claude Giroux Jersey go on second-half surges in the past, so the po sibility shouldn't be discounted, but it's hard to consider it the most likely result at this point.